Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-05-19 · saved artifact ROWS 71 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 1.5 · 2.5 · 3.5

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 74.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	25.7%Under prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	-0.30%	3.1591count	0.7432prob	1.6594proj	1.091context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
02	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs CHCBen Brown	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.9%no-vig	+3.77%	1.6294count	0.4503prob	0.8093proj	1.052context	FanDuel 295 avg 1 books
03	Miguel AndujarSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	74.7%no-vig	+4.63%	1.6252count	0.4604prob	1.0135proj	1.004context	FanDuel 850 avg 1 books
04	Shohei OhtaniLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 79.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	20.8%Under prob · Palantir	17.3%no-vig	-0.37%	3.8449count	0.7916prob	1.622proj	1.091context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
05	Maikel GarciaKC	KC vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+3.60%	1.6592count	0.4824prob	1.016proj	0.937context	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
06	Gabriel MorenoAZ	AZ vs SFLanden Roupp	P 23.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	76.3%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+4.45%	1.6294count	0.4718prob	0.973proj	1.096context	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
07	Harrison BaderSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 36.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.7%Under prob · Palantir	45.7%no-vig	-0.31%	1.2463count	0.3628prob	0.7148proj	0.956context	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
08	Bo NaylorCLE	CLE vs DETKeider Montero	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+3.56%	1.6689count	0.4847prob	0.8219proj	0.925context	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
09	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs TEXKumar Rocker	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	74.2%no-vig	+4.00%	1.6353count	0.4604prob	0.9138proj	0.892context	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
10	Will SmithLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	45.5%Under prob · Palantir	31.5%no-vig	-0.45%	2.0134count	0.5454prob	1.0539proj	1.091context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
11	Jonathan IndiaKC	KC vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+3.56%	1.6574count	0.4685prob	0.968proj	0.937context	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
12	Corbin CarrollAZ	AZ vs SFLanden Roupp	P 48.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	51.3%Under prob · Palantir	52.8%no-vig	-0.12%	2.9876count	0.7316prob	1.3976proj	1.096context	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
13	Ketel MarteAZ	AZ vs SFLanden Roupp	P 70.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	29.8%Under prob · Palantir	20.4%no-vig	-0.35%	2.9844count	0.7015prob	1.4572proj	1.096context	FanDuel -125 avg 1 books
14	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs BALKyle Bradish	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+3.52%	1.684count	0.4874prob	1.2507proj	0.983context	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
15	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs TEXKumar Rocker	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+2.98%	1.6848count	0.4788prob	0.9837proj	0.892context	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
16	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 66.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	34.0%Under prob · Palantir	21.9%no-vig	-0.35%	2.6548count	0.6599prob	1.3909proj	1.091context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
17	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs NYYWill Warren	P 45.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	54.8%Under prob · Palantir	56.2%no-vig	-0.29%	2.6732count	0.6701prob	1.4405proj	1.019context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
18	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 47.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	52.6%Under prob · Palantir	53.8%no-vig	-0.25%	2.8625count	0.6817prob	1.4049proj	1.091context	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
19	Matt ChapmanSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 57.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	42.1%Under prob · Palantir	31.9%no-vig	-0.65%	2.1057count	0.5789prob	1.0498proj	0.956context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
20	Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYY	NYY vs TORDylan Cease	P 41.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	58.8%Under prob · Palantir	59.9%no-vig	-0.46%	2.5213count	0.6302prob	1.2349proj	1.084context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
21	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.68%	1.7018count	0.4968prob	1.0276proj	0.956context	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
22	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 66.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	33.1%Under prob · Palantir	25.3%no-vig	-0.43%	2.6522count	0.6691prob	1.2651proj	0.956context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
23	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+3.28%	1.6892count	0.4833prob	1.1794proj	0.918context	FanDuel 285 avg 1 books
24	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.74%	1.7511count	0.4946prob	0.9526proj	1.004context	FanDuel 700 avg 1 books
25	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs SEABryce Miller	P 51.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	48.5%Under prob · Palantir	31.9%no-vig	-0.69%	1.8758count	0.5147prob	1.0469proj	0.92context	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
26	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs MINZebby Matthews	P 33.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	66.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.8%no-vig	-0.56%	2.1292count	0.5657prob	1.0703proj	1.022context	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
27	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.15%	1.7764count	0.5prob	1.0609proj	1.004context	FanDuel 700 avg 1 books
28	Nick CastellanosSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 58.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	41.4%Under prob · Palantir	27.1%no-vig	-0.44%	2.1881count	0.5856prob	1.1905proj	1.004context	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
29	Casey SchmittSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	-0.85%	1.274count	0.3761prob	0.6916proj	0.956context	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
30	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs TEXKumar Rocker	P 27.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	72.2%Under prob · Palantir	71.5%no-vig	+0.32%	1.8133count	0.5058prob	1.0297proj	0.892context	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
31	Jorge SolerLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 56.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	43.2%Under prob · Palantir	33.1%no-vig	-0.55%	2.0921count	0.5683prob	1.0188proj	0.923context	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
32	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs DETKeider Montero	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+3.07%	1.7038count	0.4696prob	1.1486proj	0.925context	FanDuel 285 avg 1 books
33	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 54.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	45.1%Under prob · Palantir	21.6%no-vig	-0.34%	1.9509count	0.5488prob	1.3986proj	0.956context	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
34	Austin HaysCWS	CWS vs SEABryce Miller	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+3.00%	1.6932count	0.4878prob	0.9473proj	0.92context	FanDuel 285 avg 1 books
35	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 64.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	35.4%Under prob · Palantir	23.7%no-vig	-0.47%	2.5262count	0.6461prob	1.3171proj	1.004context	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
36	Connor NorbyMIA	MIA vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.80%	1.7count	0.481prob	0.929proj	0.919context	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
37	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 65.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	34.8%Under prob · Palantir	22.4%no-vig	-0.47%	2.6033count	0.6523prob	1.3612proj	1.004context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
38	Joey LoperfidoHOU	HOU vs MINZebby Matthews	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.79%	1.6994count	0.478prob	0.9662proj	1.022context	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
39	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 68.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	31.6%Under prob · Palantir	21.4%no-vig	-0.35%	2.6752count	0.6835prob	1.3932proj	1.004context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
40	Yoán MoncadaLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.77%	1.7014count	0.4841prob	0.9005proj	0.923context	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
41	Geraldo PerdomoAZ	AZ vs SFLanden Roupp	P 62.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	37.1%Under prob · Palantir	22.4%no-vig	-0.33%	2.3481count	0.6294prob	1.3724proj	1.096context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
42	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo	P 26.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.72%	1.7524count	0.495prob	0.9556proj	1.011context	FanDuel 265 avg 1 books
43	Mike TroutLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 54.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	45.1%Under prob · Palantir	34.4%no-vig	-0.47%	2.0538count	0.5489prob	0.9862proj	0.923context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
44	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.60%	1.7577count	0.4934prob	0.9806proj	1.011context	FanDuel 265 avg 1 books
45	Andy PagesLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 58.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	41.2%Under prob · Palantir	27.1%no-vig	-0.33%	2.2048count	0.5878prob	1.1765proj	1.091context	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
46	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs STLMatthew Liberatore	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.35%	1.7694count	0.4974prob	0.8577proj	0.918context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
47	Nolan SchanuelLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	65.1%Under prob · Palantir	40.9%no-vig	-0.68%	1.2674count	0.3486prob	0.8209proj	0.923context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
48	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs CHCBen Brown	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.35%	1.7683count	0.4949prob	1.059proj	1.052context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
49	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 56.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	43.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.6%no-vig	-0.66%	2.0941count	0.5657prob	1.0272proj	0.956context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
50	Jasson DomínguezNYY	NYY vs TORDylan Cease	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.8%no-vig	+1.06%	1.7814count	0.4937prob	0.9974proj	1.084context	FanDuel 255 avg 1 books
51	Zach NetoLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 59.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.1%Under prob · Palantir	28.3%no-vig	-0.40%	2.2591count	0.5988prob	1.155proj	0.923context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
52	Tj FriedlCIN	CIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.8%no-vig	+0.99%	1.7839count	0.4864prob	1.046proj	1.011context	FanDuel 255 avg 1 books
53	Logan O'HoppeLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 49.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	50.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	-0.34%	1.8286count	0.4916prob	0.9461proj	0.923context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
54	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs LADEmmet Sheehan	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.8%no-vig	+0.86%	1.7898count	0.5084prob	1.0055proj	1.004context	FanDuel 255 avg 1 books
55	Nolan ArenadoAZ	AZ vs SFLanden Roupp	P 55.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	44.5%Under prob · Palantir	28.0%no-vig	-0.31%	2.0406count	0.5548prob	1.1502proj	1.096context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
56	Iván HerreraSTL	STL vs PITMitch Keller	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 2.5	28.3%Over prob · Palantir	28.7%no-vig	-0.09%	1.8375count	0.5007prob	1.0743proj	0.955context	FanDuel 245 avg 1 books
57	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs SEABryce Miller	P 62.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	37.6%Under prob · Palantir	31.6%no-vig	-0.48%	2.3863count	0.6243prob	1.0505proj	0.92context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
58	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs BALKyle Bradish	P 27.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.5%no-vig	+0.47%	1.8147count	0.5068prob	0.9374proj	0.983context	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
59	Max MuncyLAD	LAD vs SDGriffin Canning	P 58.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	41.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.7%no-vig	-0.28%	2.3453count	0.5891prob	1.0297proj	1.091context	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
60	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs BOSRanger Suarez	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.2%no-vig	+0.18%	1.825count	0.5069prob	0.9801proj	0.937context	FanDuel 245 avg 1 books
61	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs TEXKumar Rocker	P 55.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	44.6%Under prob · Palantir	34.4%no-vig	-0.66%	2.0007count	0.5536prob	0.972proj	0.892context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
62	Jo AdellLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 56.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	43.6%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	-0.35%	2.1028count	0.5643prob	0.9625proj	0.923context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
63	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs DETKeider Montero	P 37.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	62.4%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	-0.82%	1.2516count	0.3764prob	0.6952proj	0.925context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
64	Travis D'ArnaudLAA	LAA vs ATHJacob Lopez	P 44.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	55.2%Under prob · Palantir	56.2%no-vig	-0.64%	1.5507count	0.4481prob	0.8027proj	0.923context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
65	Ramón UríasSTL	STL vs PITMitch Keller	P 37.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	62.4%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	-0.86%	1.2949count	0.376prob	0.7563proj	0.955context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
66	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs TEXKumar Rocker	P 36.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.8%Under prob · Palantir	41.2%no-vig	-0.22%	1.2645count	0.3622prob	0.8089proj	0.892context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
67	Tyler FitzgeraldSF	SF vs AZRyne Nelson	P 43.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	56.2%Under prob · Palantir	57.1%no-vig	-0.63%	1.4927count	0.4381prob	0.8177proj	0.956context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
68	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs TORDylan Cease	P 59.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.6%Under prob · Palantir	42.0%no-vig	-0.60%	2.2016count	0.594prob	1.0241proj	1.084context	FanDuel -150 avg 1 books
69	Davis SchneiderTOR	TOR vs NYYWill Warren	P 38.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	61.6%Under prob · Palantir	62.1%no-vig	-0.80%	1.2697count	0.3842prob	0.6158proj	1.019context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
70	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski	P 30.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	69.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.1%no-vig	-1.09%	0.9357count	0.3066prob	0.4693proj	1.057context	DraftKings 215 avg 1 books
71	Anthony SantanderTOR	TOR vs NYYWill Warren	P 29.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5	29.4%Over prob · Palantir	30.0%no-vig	-1.24%	0.9046count	0.2941prob	0.4174proj	1.019context	FanDuel 225 avg 1 books