Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Oneil Cruz

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 4 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupPIT vs CWSSean Burke
Sample1694.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 52.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 62.1% Market 63.0% Gap +10.3pp
BetMGM -170 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 12.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 12.4% Market -- Gap +9.8pp
FanDuel 350 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.9%
94
Exit velocity95.2
100
Hard-hit%55.9%
99
xBA0.407
99
xSLG0.786
99
xwOBA0.350
91
BB%11.6%
85
Bat speed76.2
99
K%34.5%
5
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.0 · CF
90
Arm Strength101.9 · CF
97
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · CF
7
Range Runs-1.0 · CF
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.3 · CF
90
Bolts8.0 · CF
59
SB Success Rate84.6% · CF
63
Sprint Speed28.3 · CF
76
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5%
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9%
42
Correct Decisions63.7%
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.372
RegressionNegative · -0.042
Opposing pitcherSean Burke
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)