Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-06-11 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-11

Bo Bichette

NYM · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 2 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYM vs STLHunter Dobbins
Sample3344.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 23.9
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 22.4% Market 11.7% Gap +10.2pp
DraftKings 725 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 65.4% Market 79.8% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 32.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 32.2% Market -- Gap +7.0pp
FanDuel 155 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
51
Exit velocity91.5
88
Hard-hit%48.1%
84
xBA0.343
69
xSLG0.521
52
xwOBA0.328
65
BB%7.5%
35
Bat speed68.2
30
K%16.7%
81
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
56
Arm Strength88.6 · 3B
72
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
80
Range Runs-0.6 · 3B
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.2 · 3B
12
Sprint Speed25.8 · 3B
16
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5%
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4%
58
Correct Decisions63.4%
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.309
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.384
RegressionPositive · 0.010
Opposing pitcherHunter Dobbins
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)