Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-06-04 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-04

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupMIL vs SFAdrian Houser
Sample1751.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 18.4% Market 10.0% Gap +8.0pp
DraftKings 865 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 60.8% Market 78.1% Gap +2.7pp
FanDuel -120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +6.2pp
FanDuel 4500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
48 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity90.7
81
Hard-hit%49.3%
87 +44 vs proj
xBA0.384
92
xSLG0.658
86
xwOBA0.382
93 +32 vs proj
BB%17.2%
99 +44 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
27
K%23.0%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
40
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
62
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
71
Range Runs1.3 · 2B
68
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 2B
52
SB Success Rate77.8% · 2B
42
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
86
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.7%
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2%
38
Correct Decisions69.5%
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.380
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.019
Opposing pitcherAdrian Houser
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)