Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-07-27 Refreshed Jul 27 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-27

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIL vs SFTyler Mahle
Sample1933.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.074, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.072, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.057, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.087, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.140, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 10.3
F 12.2
V 9.3
Model 12.2% Market 10.0% Gap +1.8pp
DraftKings 865 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 80.1% Market 81.1% Gap +15.6pp
BetMGM -430 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
58 +27 vs proj
Exit velocity89.8
73
Hard-hit%44.0%
73 +28 vs proj
xBA0.361
84
xSLG0.627
84
xwOBA0.350
86 +19 vs proj
BB%12.7%
88 +30 vs proj
Bat speed67.7
25
K%24.2%
40 -18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
53
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
53
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 2B
95
Range Runs5.8 · 2B
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · 2B
67
Bolts1.0 · 2B
14
SB Success Rate75.0% · 2B
32
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
84
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1%
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8%
34
Correct Decisions68.4%
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.031
Opposing pitcherTyler Mahle
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-27
Palantir 11499 props Brier 0.122 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 11499 props Brier 0.122 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 5904 props Brier 0.116 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 964 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.031 14d error rising
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 460 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Palantir 5326 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.073 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 344 props Brier 0.177 ECE 0.049 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 512 props Brier 0.259 ECE 0.056 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)