Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-09-01 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-01

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs CHCMatthew Boyd
Sample2046.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 11.0
F 12.1
V 10.9
Model 13.1% Market 8.7% Gap +4.0pp
DraftKings 1010 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 73.1% Market 74.0% Gap +13.9pp
BetMGM -285 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 21.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 21.2% Market -- Gap +12.1pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
49 +17 vs proj
Exit velocity89.0
63
Hard-hit%41.6%
65 +17 vs proj
xBA0.353
84
xSLG0.593
77
xwOBA0.336
82
BB%12.4%
89 +31 vs proj
Bat speed67.2
23
K%24.9%
38 -22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
45
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
49
Outs Above Avg11.0 · 2B
98
Range Runs9.1 · 2B
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · 2B
47
Bolts1.0 · 2B
12
SB Success Rate68.8% · 2B
24
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
83
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.7%
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8%
35
Correct Decisions67.6%
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.312 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.023
Opposing pitcherMatthew Boyd
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)