Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-09-01 · saved artifact ROWS 53 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.209count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
02	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 3.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.9%Under prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	+96.87%	1+ Hitline	0.354count	96.9%selected	1.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
03	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs WSH	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.234count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
04	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 3.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.0%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+96.98%	1+ Hitline	0.347count	97.0%selected	1.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
05	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs NYM	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	46.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.214count	98.0%selected	1.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
06	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs CIN	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	53.5%no-vig	+73.08%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.1%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
07	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs NYM	P 7.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	92.9%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+92.94%	1+ Hitline	0.531count	92.9%selected	2.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
08	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 10.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+89.18%	1+ Hitline	0.613count	89.2%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
09	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs PIT	P 15.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.7%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+84.70%	1+ Hitline	0.726count	84.7%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
10	Austin HaysCWS	CWS vs HOU	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+86.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.686count	86.7%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
11	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs NYM	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+80.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.834count	80.6%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
12	Spencer HorwitzPIT	PIT vs SF	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.8count	82.5%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
13	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs SF	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.5%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+87.46%	1+ Hitline	0.664count	87.5%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
14	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs WSH	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+75.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.954count	75.7%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
15	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+78.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.879count	78.8%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
16	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs WSH	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.6%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+72.56%	2+ Hitsline	1.03count	72.6%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
17	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs CIN	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.28%	2+ Hitsline	0.965count	75.3%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
18	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs CLE	P 12.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.5%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+87.55%	1+ Hitline	0.662count	87.5%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
19	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs CIN	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.879count	78.8%selected	3.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
20	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs CIN	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+86.48%	1+ Hitline	0.676count	86.5%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
21	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs NYM	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+80.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.854count	80.3%selected	3.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
22	Tj FriedlCIN	CIN vs SD	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.2%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+72.81%	1+ Hitline	1.024count	27.2%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
23	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 12.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.4%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+87.43%	1+ Hitline	0.665count	87.4%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
24	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs CIN	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+73.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.998count	73.8%selected	4.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
25	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs SD	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+82.49%	1+ Hitline	0.785count	82.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
26	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 12.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.4%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+87.36%	1+ Hitline	0.667count	87.4%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
27	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs SD	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+83.27%	1+ Hitline	0.764count	83.3%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
28	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+81.93%	1+ Hitline	0.8count	81.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
29	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs SF	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.64%	2+ Hitsline	0.908count	77.6%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
30	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs SF	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.856count	79.7%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
31	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+80.95%	1+ Hitline	0.825count	81.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
32	Roman AnthonyBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.899count	78.0%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
33	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs CLE	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.1%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+85.08%	1+ Hitline	0.715count	85.1%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
34	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+74.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.984count	74.5%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
35	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs TB	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+83.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.762count	83.4%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
36	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs TB	P 24.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+75.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.968count	75.2%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
37	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.0%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+72.05%	1+ Hitline	1.041count	28.0%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
38	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs TB	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+77.50%	1+ Hitline	0.907count	77.5%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
39	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs PIT	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+80.12%	1+ Hitline	0.84count	80.1%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
40	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.9%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+69.93%	2+ Hitsline	1.092count	69.9%selected	4.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
41	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs SD	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+84.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.756count	84.1%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
42	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs CLE	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.898count	78.1%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
43	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs SD	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+68.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.123count	68.6%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
44	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs WSH	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.81%	2+ Hitsline	1.024count	72.8%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
45	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+75.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.966count	75.3%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
46	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs TB	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.93count	76.6%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
47	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs CLE	P 28.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.56%	2+ Hitsline	1.053count	71.6%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
48	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs WSH	P 30.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+69.42%	2+ Hitsline	1.104count	69.4%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
49	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 27.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	72.1%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+72.12%	1+ Hitline	1.039count	72.1%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
50	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs SF	P 28.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.48%	2+ Hitsline	1.055count	71.5%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
51	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs WSH	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	80.4%no-vig	+81.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.801count	81.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
52	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs TOR	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+73.23%	2+ Hitsline	1.014count	73.2%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
53	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs WSH	P 26.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.5%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.50%	1+ Hitline	1.008count	26.5%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books