Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Kyle Stowers

MIA · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIA vs NYM--
Sample1106.0career MLB AB
PROPS 1 available PERCENTILES 18 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases --
Total Bases · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Hits 0.5
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +48.7pp
FanDuel 300 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.0%
81
Exit velocity92.5
95
Hard-hit%56.8%
99
xBA0.368
92
xSLG0.702
95
xwOBA0.335
81
BB%9.9%
67
Bat speed73.2
90
K%31.8%
10 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
22
Arm Strength93.9 · 1B
93
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
13
Range Runs-2.5 · 1B
26
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
28
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.0%
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.7%
94
Correct Decisions67.2%
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.287 to 0.365
RegressionNegative · -0.024
Opposing pitcher--
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)