Mithrandir Metrics
ATH 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 12 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Shea Langeliers

ATH · Hitter
IL10 · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupATH vs TORJosé Soriano
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 20 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.056, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.052, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 11.3
F 11.7
V 12.2
Model 15.4% Market 20.8% Gap -5.4pp
BetMGM 380 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 68.3% Market 69.2% Gap +12.3pp
BetMGM -225 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.0%
98
Exit velocity92.0
94
Hard-hit%45.8%
83
xBA0.360
88
xSLG0.689
94
xwOBA0.363
95
BB%8.6%
53
Bat speed74.1
95
K%22.8%
50
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.6 · C
32
Catcher Throwing1.9 · C
79
Framing Runs-4.8 · C
8
Pop Time1.9 · C
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · C
35
Sprint Speed28.4 · C
79
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6%
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9%
86
Correct Decisions67.1%
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.014
Opposing pitcherJosé Soriano
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-12
Palantir 19869 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19869 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 14193 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1758 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1254 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9476 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 766 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.035 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 993 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.056 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)