Mithrandir Metrics
CHC 2026-07-08 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-08

Seiya Suzuki

CHC · Hitter · bats R · age 32
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCHC vs BALDean Kremer
Sample2276.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 1.5
P 11.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 11.2% Market 32.8% Gap +5.5pp
FanDuel 230 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 3.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 3.3% Market -- Gap +36.7pp
FanDuel 250 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
54 -33 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
64
Hard-hit%40.8%
58 -29 vs proj
xBA0.352
79
xSLG0.588
73
xwOBA0.324
66
BB%10.7%
72
Bat speed70.5
65
K%26.5%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.4 · RF
96
Arm Strength94.5 · RF
64
Outs Above Avg2.0 · RF
89
Range Runs1.9 · RF
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
62
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4%
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7%
19
Correct Decisions66.0%
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.388
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.383
RegressionNegative · -0.041
Opposing pitcherDean Kremer
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)