Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-08 · saved artifact ROWS 63 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Romy GonzalezBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.15count	98.0%selected	0.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
02	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs STL	P 3.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.5%Under prob · Palantir	22.7%no-vig	+96.49%	1+ Hitline	0.375count	96.5%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
03	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs SEA	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.304count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
04	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 3.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.7%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+96.70%	1+ Hitline	0.363count	96.7%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
05	Casey SchmittSF	SF vs TOR	P 8.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.3%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+91.31%	1+ Hitline	0.545count	91.3%selected	2.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
06	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs STL	P 12.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+87.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.655count	87.8%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
07	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs SEA	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+82.52%	2+ Hitsline	0.798count	82.5%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
08	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 10.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+89.43%	1+ Hitline	0.605count	89.4%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
09	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+83.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.746count	84.0%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
10	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs ATH	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+83.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.775count	83.4%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
11	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs ATH	P 6.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+93.50%	1+ Hitline	0.51count	93.5%selected	2.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
12	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs ATL	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+81.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.801count	81.9%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs MIL	P 15.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+84.72%	2+ Hitsline	0.741count	84.7%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
14	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs SF	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+86.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.2%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
15	Matt VierlingDET	DET vs ATH	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+84.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.736count	84.9%selected	3.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
16	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs ATL	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+78.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.875count	79.0%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
17	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs SF	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+82.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.78count	82.7%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
18	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+79.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
19	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.764count	83.3%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
20	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs ATL	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+78.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	78.4%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
21	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs CHC	P 11.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+88.07%	1+ Hitline	0.646count	88.1%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
22	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs MIL	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+83.61%	2+ Hitsline	0.77count	83.6%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
23	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs TOR	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+84.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.736count	84.3%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
24	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs CHC	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.892count	78.3%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
25	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+85.93%	2+ Hitsline	0.708count	85.9%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
26	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 15.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.7%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+84.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.74count	84.7%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
27	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs SF	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+75.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.961count	75.5%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
28	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.855count	79.8%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
29	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 11.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.1%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+88.12%	1+ Hitline	0.645count	88.1%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
30	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+82.72%	2+ Hitsline	0.779count	82.7%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
31	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs ATL	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+74.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.978count	74.8%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
32	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+81.73%	1+ Hitline	0.805count	81.7%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
33	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs CHC	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.88%	2+ Hitsline	0.927count	76.9%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
34	Victor CaratiniMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+82.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.8count	82.5%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
35	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 32.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	32.7%Over prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+67.26%	2+ Hitsline	1.155count	32.7%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
36	James WoodWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.04%	2+ Hitsline	0.898count	78.0%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
37	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs CHC	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.881count	78.7%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
38	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs CHC	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+69.81%	2+ Hitsline	1.095count	69.8%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
39	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs STL	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.901count	77.9%selected	3.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
40	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs TOR	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+82.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	82.9%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
41	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs MIL	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+82.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.776count	82.8%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
42	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs ATH	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.888count	78.5%selected	3.99role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
43	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.975count	74.9%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
44	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.927count	76.9%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
45	Jahmai JonesDET	DET vs ATH	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+80.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.831count	80.7%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
46	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs STL	P 31.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.1%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+68.11%	2+ Hitsline	1.135count	68.1%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
47	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.33%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.3%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
48	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.9%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+75.10%	1+ Hitline	0.97count	24.9%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
49	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+75.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.96count	75.5%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
50	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs SF	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+82.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.797count	82.0%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
51	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs ATH	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+82.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.786count	82.4%selected	4.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
52	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs SF	P 31.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.4%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+68.36%	2+ Hitsline	1.127count	68.4%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
53	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+77.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.901count	77.7%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
54	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs BAL	P 35.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.7%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+64.34%	1+ Hitline	1.225count	35.7%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
55	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs STL	P 32.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.0%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+67.97%	2+ Hitsline	1.139count	68.0%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
56	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs STL	P 31.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.7%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+68.27%	1+ Hitline	1.129count	31.7%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
57	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs TOR	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	20.8%Over prob · Palantir	19.2%no-vig	+79.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.864count	20.8%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
58	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs TOR	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+84.11%	1+ Hitline	0.742count	84.1%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
59	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.8%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.17%	1+ Hitline	1.015count	26.8%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
60	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs SEA	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.2%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+77.84%	1+ Hitline	0.903count	22.2%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
61	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs TOR	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.4%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+67.60%	1+ Hitline	1.147count	32.4%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
62	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+72.73%	1+ Hitline	1.024count	72.7%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
63	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs SEA	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+71.77%	2+ Hitsline	1.048count	71.8%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books