Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-09-10 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-10

Dominic Canzone

SEA · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSEA vs TEXJacob deGrom
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 15 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 53.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 53.2% Market 71.0% Gap +12.8pp
FanDuel 145 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 13.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 13.9% Market -- Gap +10.0pp
FanDuel 350 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.4%
89
Exit velocity91.3
89
Hard-hit%44.4%
77
xBA0.350
83
xSLG0.630
86
xwOBA0.352
92 +20 vs proj
BB%8.4%
50 +15 vs proj
Bat speed72.6
86
K%21.0%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · RF
59
Arm Strength93.4 · RF
50
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs0.1 · RF
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · DH
24
SB Success Rate66.7% · DH
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.276 to 0.351
RegressionNegative · -0.009
Opposing pitcherJacob deGrom
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)