Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-09-10 · saved artifact ROWS 62 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5

Lane Health 2026-09-11

Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable

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Model Lane

Total Bases

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Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 67.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	32.7%Under prob · Palantir	14.1%no-vig	-1.01%	2.789count	0.6972prob	1.5613proj	1.085context	BetMGM -610 avg 1 books
02	Yandy DíazTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 66.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.1%Under prob · Palantir	14.7%no-vig	-1.04%	2.6736count	0.6726prob	1.5222proj	0.985context	BetMGM -580 avg 1 books
03	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 66.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.7%Under prob · Palantir	15.7%no-vig	-1.00%	2.836count	0.6914prob	1.4909proj	1.084context	BetMGM -535 avg 1 books
04	Aaron JudgeNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 66.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.0%Under prob · Palantir	16.3%no-vig	-0.94%	3.4812count	0.7588prob	1.4689proj	1.084context	BetMGM -515 avg 1 books
05	Corey SeagerTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 65.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.6%Under prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	-1.05%	2.9023count	0.6939prob	1.4147proj	1.011context	BetMGM -480 avg 1 books
06	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 65.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.7%Under prob · Palantir	17.4%no-vig	-1.07%	2.8915count	0.6977prob	1.4261proj	1.085context	BetMGM -475 avg 1 books
07	Ronald Acuña Jr.ATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 65.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.6%Under prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	-0.96%	2.7328count	0.6698prob	1.4151proj	1.06context	BetMGM -480 avg 1 books
08	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 65.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.0%Under prob · Palantir	17.9%no-vig	-1.07%	2.8289count	0.6966prob	1.3845proj	1.028context	BetMGM -460 avg 1 books
09	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 64.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.1%Under prob · Palantir	18.0%no-vig	-1.06%	2.3667count	0.6326prob	1.3671proj	1.085context	BetMGM -455 avg 1 books
10	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 64.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.2%Under prob · Palantir	18.3%no-vig	-0.99%	2.5617count	0.653prob	1.3691proj	1.012context	BetMGM -445 avg 1 books
11	Julio RodríguezSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 64.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.3%Under prob · Palantir	18.5%no-vig	-0.97%	2.577count	0.6502prob	1.3744proj	1.012context	BetMGM -440 avg 1 books
12	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 64.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.4%Under prob · Palantir	18.7%no-vig	-0.97%	2.9066count	0.6917prob	1.3811proj	1.06context	BetMGM -435 avg 1 books
13	Jeremy PeñaHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 64.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.4%Under prob · Palantir	18.7%no-vig	-0.96%	2.2925count	0.6134prob	1.3693proj	1.028context	BetMGM -435 avg 1 books
14	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 63.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.5%Under prob · Palantir	20.4%no-vig	-1.01%	2.2664count	0.591prob	1.2967proj	1.028context	BetMGM -390 avg 1 books
15	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 63.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.4%Under prob · Palantir	20.4%no-vig	-0.90%	2.534count	0.6489prob	1.2928proj	1.06context	BetMGM -390 avg 1 books
16	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 63.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.7%Under prob · Palantir	20.8%no-vig	-0.91%	2.3741count	0.6183prob	1.2921proj	1.06context	BetMGM -380 avg 1 books
17	Brendan DonovanSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 63.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.9%Under prob · Palantir	21.1%no-vig	-0.97%	2.1159count	0.5824prob	1.259proj	1.012context	BetMGM -375 avg 1 books
18	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 62.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.2%Under prob · Palantir	21.5%no-vig	-1.11%	2.4238count	0.6263prob	1.2682proj	1.011context	BetMGM -365 avg 1 books
19	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 62.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.3%Under prob · Palantir	21.7%no-vig	-0.94%	2.3723count	0.6092prob	1.2393proj	1.06context	BetMGM -360 avg 1 books
20	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 62.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.8%Under prob · Palantir	22.5%no-vig	-1.10%	2.6206count	0.6502prob	1.2123proj	0.985context	BetMGM -345 avg 1 books
21	Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 62.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.8%Under prob · Palantir	22.5%no-vig	-1.00%	2.5213count	0.6262prob	1.2349proj	1.084context	BetMGM -345 avg 1 books
22	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 61.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.6%Under prob · Palantir	23.8%no-vig	-1.05%	2.137count	0.5718prob	1.1715proj	1.06context	BetMGM -320 avg 1 books
23	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 61.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.9%Under prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	-0.86%	2.1268count	0.5795prob	1.1619proj	1.085context	BetMGM -310 avg 1 books
24	Adolis GarcíaPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 60.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.1%Under prob · Palantir	24.7%no-vig	-0.94%	2.3994count	0.6185prob	1.1698proj	1.085context	BetMGM -305 avg 1 books
25	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 60.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.5%Under prob · Palantir	25.3%no-vig	-0.98%	2.1776count	0.5829prob	1.1553proj	1.011context	BetMGM -295 avg 1 books
26	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 60.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	-1.10%	2.8182count	0.6524prob	1.1526proj	1.085context	BetMGM -290 avg 1 books
27	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 60.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.7%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	-0.89%	2.7329count	0.6633prob	1.1478proj	1.012context	BetMGM -290 avg 1 books
28	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 60.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.0%Under prob · Palantir	26.0%no-vig	-1.00%	2.2631count	0.5977prob	1.1233proj	1.028context	BetMGM -285 avg 1 books
29	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 59.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.3%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	-1.15%	1.9413count	0.5283prob	1.0913proj	1.028context	BetMGM -280 avg 1 books
30	Carlos CorreaHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 60.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.9%Under prob · Palantir	26.0%no-vig	-0.96%	1.9476count	0.5393prob	1.1158proj	1.028context	BetMGM -285 avg 1 books
31	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 59.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.2%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	-0.99%	2.3035count	0.6043prob	1.1068proj	1.011context	BetMGM -280 avg 1 books
32	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 59.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.4%Under prob · Palantir	26.7%no-vig	-0.93%	1.8311count	0.5081prob	1.096proj	1.085context	BetMGM -275 avg 1 books
33	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 59.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.6%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	-0.94%	1.9536count	0.5419prob	1.081proj	1.085context	BetMGM -270 avg 1 books
34	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	27.4%no-vig	-0.96%	1.9247count	0.5351prob	1.0697proj	1.084context	BetMGM -265 avg 1 books
35	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	27.4%no-vig	-0.94%	1.9096count	0.5286prob	1.0816proj	0.916context	BetMGM -265 avg 1 books
36	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 58.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.4%Under prob · Palantir	28.2%no-vig	-1.06%	2.1767count	0.5872prob	1.057proj	0.916context	BetMGM -255 avg 1 books
37	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 58.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.9%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-1.05%	2.0151count	0.5526prob	1.0388proj	1.012context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
38	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 58.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.8%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-0.88%	1.9659count	0.5319prob	1.0279proj	1.012context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
39	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 57.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.2%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	-1.10%	2.2016count	0.5862prob	1.0241proj	1.084context	BetMGM -240 avg 1 books
40	Giancarlo StantonNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 58.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.8%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-0.80%	2.4188count	0.6142prob	1.0428proj	1.084context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
41	Josh JungTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 57.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.6%Under prob · Palantir	29.9%no-vig	-1.16%	1.8053count	0.5022prob	0.9966proj	1.011context	BetMGM -235 avg 1 books
42	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 57.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.1%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	-0.92%	2.0802count	0.5641prob	1.0306proj	1.06context	BetMGM -240 avg 1 books
43	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.9%no-vig	-0.92%	1.9926count	0.5393prob	1.0202proj	1.028context	BetMGM -235 avg 1 books
44	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.9%no-vig	-0.89%	1.3552count	0.3902prob	1.0016proj	0.985context	BetMGM -235 avg 1 books
45	Jasson DomínguezNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 57.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.7%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	-0.93%	1.7814count	0.49prob	0.9974proj	1.084context	BetMGM -230 avg 1 books
46	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 55.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	44.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-1.22%	1.9291count	0.533prob	0.9539proj	1.011context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
47	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 55.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	44.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-1.14%	1.6188count	0.4592prob	0.959proj	0.916context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
48	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 56.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	43.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.7%no-vig	-0.89%	1.7441count	0.4856prob	0.9756proj	0.916context	BetMGM -215 avg 1 books
49	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 56.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	44.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-0.95%	1.8369count	0.5292prob	0.9559proj	1.011context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
50	Luke RaleySEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	45.5%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	-0.89%	1.8397count	0.5211prob	0.9004proj	1.012context	BetMGM -190 avg 1 books
51	Josh SmithTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 54.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	45.4%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	-0.77%	1.525count	0.4422prob	0.9014proj	1.011context	BetMGM -190 avg 1 books
52	Joey LoperfidoHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 54.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	46.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	-0.99%	1.504count	0.4203prob	0.8865proj	1.028context	BetMGM -185 avg 1 books
53	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 53.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	46.6%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	-1.18%	1.8613count	0.4956prob	0.8772proj	1.084context	BetMGM -180 avg 1 books
54	Jordan BeckCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 53.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	46.9%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	-0.92%	1.4686count	0.418prob	0.861proj	0.916context	BetMGM -175 avg 1 books
55	Victor RoblesSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 51.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	48.6%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	-1.25%	1.2192count	0.3602prob	0.7895proj	1.012context	BetMGM -160 avg 1 books
56	Jake MeyersHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 52.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	47.8%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	-0.89%	1.3399count	0.388prob	0.8151proj	1.028context	BetMGM -165 avg 1 books
57	Justyn-Henry MalloyTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 50.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	49.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	-1.24%	1.4156count	0.4129prob	0.7688proj	0.985context	BetMGM -150 avg 1 books
58	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 50.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	49.4%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	-0.69%	1.5238count	0.4499prob	0.7769proj	0.985context	BetMGM -150 avg 1 books
59	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 50.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	50.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	-0.69%	1.3306count	0.3979prob	0.7371proj	0.985context	BetMGM -145 avg 1 books
60	José CaballeroNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 49.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	50.6%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	-0.63%	1.2401count	0.3603prob	0.7538proj	1.084context	BetMGM -140 avg 1 books
61	Danny JansenTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 46.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	53.9%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	-1.11%	1.3569count	0.4043prob	0.6742proj	1.011context	BetMGM -120 avg 1 books
62	Edmundo SosaPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 44.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	55.6%Under prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	-1.09%	1.1354count	0.3579prob	0.604proj	1.085context	BetMGM -110 avg 1 books