Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Dillon Dingler

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs MINDean Kremer
Sample1025.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 19 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 55.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 66.1% Market 67.2% Gap +11.7pp
BetMGM -205 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 14.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 14.2% Market -- Gap +13.6pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
80 +22 vs proj
Exit velocity88.2
54
Hard-hit%42.8%
71
xBA0.348
80
xSLG0.616
83
xwOBA0.341
86
BB%5.5%
18
Bat speed70.3
62
K%22.1%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.5 · C
96
Catcher Throwing2.2 · C
89
Framing Runs6.7 · C
98
Pop Time1.9 · C
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · C
53
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
47
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.3%
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2%
40
Correct Decisions65.5%
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
40

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.307 to 0.391
RegressionNegative · -0.018
Opposing pitcherDean Kremer
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)