Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Wyatt Langford

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IN · 5 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupTEX vs SEABryce Miller
Sample1339.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.7
F 12.5
V 13.1
Model 16.7% Market 14.4% Gap +1.8pp
FanDuel 570 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 61.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 74.7% Market 75.6% Gap +14.5pp
BetMGM -310 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
43 -39 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
68
Hard-hit%39.0%
53 -29 vs proj
xBA0.308
37
xSLG0.502
51
xwOBA0.314
61 -26 vs proj
BB%10.7%
75
Bat speed70.8
70
K%20.1%
65
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · LF
55
Arm Strength90.0 · LF
21
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
88
Range Runs3.1 · LF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · LF
59
Bolts1.0 · LF
11
SB Success Rate81.8% · LF
54
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
72
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.4%
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3%
70
Correct Decisions69.3%
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
74

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.319 to 0.396
RegressionNegative · -0.048
Opposing pitcherBryce Miller
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)