Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-09-11 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-11

James Wood

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs LAAYusei Kikuchi
Sample1356.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 17.1
Model 17.9% Market 15.9% Gap +1.4pp
FanDuel 505 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 59.0% Market 74.4% Gap +14.2pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 21.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 21.1% Market -- Gap +11.2pp
FanDuel 210 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.0%
99
Exit velocity95.3
100
Hard-hit%58.1%
100
xBA0.420
100
xSLG0.881
100
xwOBA0.415
100
BB%16.2%
99
Bat speed74.0
94
K%28.7%
21
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · RF
26
Arm Strength95.7 · RF
67
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
12
Range Runs-7.4 · RF
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · RF
67
Bolts4.0 · RF
42
SB Success Rate86.7% · RF
71
Sprint Speed27.3 · RF
47
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.8%
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0%
41
Correct Decisions69.3%
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.364 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.242 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.323
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.308 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.414
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.317 to 0.426
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherYusei Kikuchi
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)