Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-05-19 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-19

Hunter Goodman

COL · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 2 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCOL vs TEXKumar Rocker
Sample983.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 20 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 13.0
F 17.2
V 12.6
Model 15.4% Market 18.0% Gap -2.6pp
BetMGM 455 tracking Open board
Total Bases 1.5
P 55.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 55.4% Market 65.6% Gap -3.3pp
FanDuel 110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 18.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 18.1% Market -- Gap +81.9pp
FanDuel 280 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.5%
82
Exit velocity92.6
92
Hard-hit%52.5%
92 +16 vs proj
xBA0.362
81
xSLG0.689
88
xwOBA0.308
46
BB%7.0%
28
Bat speed73.7
93
K%32.3%
6 -35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
60
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
36
Framing Runs0.7 · C
64
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.2 · C
0
Sprint Speed27.2 · C
50
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.5%
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9%
87
Correct Decisions66.1%
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
30

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.273 to 0.354
RegressionNegative · -0.117
Opposing pitcherKumar Rocker
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)