Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-06-11 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-11

Hunter Goodman

COL · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCOL vs CHCEdward Cabrera
Sample1054.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 17.4% Market 17.4% Gap -0.6pp
DraftKings 455 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 53.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 53.8% Market 64.5% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel -130 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 15.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 15.3% Market -- Gap +19.2pp
FanDuel 190 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.3%
91
Exit velocity91.5
88
Hard-hit%49.4%
88
xBA0.361
83
xSLG0.719
94
xwOBA0.325
63
BB%8.5%
46 +25 vs proj
Bat speed73.8
93
K%31.3%
9 -31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.1 · C
49
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · C
25
Framing Runs0.0 · C
52
Pop Time2.0 · C
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.8 · C
4
SB Success Rate60.0% · C
10
Sprint Speed27.4 · C
52
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.1%
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1%
32
Correct Decisions60.5%
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
10
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.398
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.273 to 0.354
RegressionNegative · -0.095
Opposing pitcherEdward Cabrera
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)