Mithrandir Metrics
SF 2026-06-05 Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-05

Jung Hoo Lee

SF · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupSF vs CHCEdward Cabrera
Sample913.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.043, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.046, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 12.7% Market 7.7% Gap +4.7pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 23.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 23.6% Market 25.6% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 470 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +17.2pp
FanDuel 5000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.6%
19
Exit velocity87.7
41
Hard-hit%32.0%
20
xBA0.346
73
xSLG0.450
29
xwOBA0.330
67
BB%5.1%
12 -20 vs proj
Bat speed66.7
19
K%9.8%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
27
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
73
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Range Runs-1.2 · RF
33
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · RF
20
Sprint Speed27.2 · RF
47
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2%
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.8%
13
Correct Decisions64.0%
30
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.378
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.325
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.310 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.059
Opposing pitcherEdward Cabrera
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-03
Palantir 18276 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18276 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12618 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1610 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1106 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8710 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 690 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 910 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.058 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)