Mithrandir Metrics
Player Pittsburgh Pirates Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates

Oneil Cruz

CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 7", 248 lb · Age 27

Cards
11
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Pittsburgh Pirates Position CF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024599721402122.259.324.449.773
202554462942038.200.298.378.676
202633453801724.271.356.488.844
6 Seasons18872414027797.239.317.436.753
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
98
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
86
Defense4 metrics
56
Speed4 metrics
70
Plate skills10 metrics
36
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.6%
97
Exit velocity95.7
100
Hard-hit%57.9%
99
xBA0.417
100
xSLG0.820
99
xwOBA0.358
93
BB%11.0%
79
Bat speed76.4
99
K%34.5%
5
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.9 · CF
88
Arm Strength106.1 · CF
100
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
11
Range Runs-2.4 · CF
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.6 · CF
87
Bolts8.0 · CF
60
SB Success Rate81.8% · CF
55
Sprint Speed28.4 · CF
79
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.6% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
41
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
71
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample
13
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
52
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Cruz, Oneil · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.358 2026-08-21: 0.3582026-08-22: 0.3582026-08-23: 0.3582026-08-24: 0.3582026-08-25: 0.3572026-08-26: 0.3572026-08-27: 0.3612026-08-28: 0.3612026-08-29: 0.3612026-08-30: 0.3572026-08-31: 0.3582026-09-01: 0.358 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Cruz, Oneil · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsOppo 20% LF 325 CF 399 RF 320 2026-03-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 113.2 / LA 9.02026-03-18 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 29.02026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -13.02026-03-21 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 35.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 111.6 / LA 28.02026-03-21 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 113.6 / LA -15.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 52.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -7.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 52.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -13.02026-03-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -32.02026-03-26 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 75.2 / LA 24.02026-03-29 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 10.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -15.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 5.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 57.2 / LA 58.02026-03-31 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 34.02026-03-31 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 13.02026-03-31 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 111.1 / LA 24.02026-04-01 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 28.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 20.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 0.02026-04-01 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -22.02026-04-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -18.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 37.02026-04-03 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -9.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 25.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 2.02026-04-04 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 31.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.8 / LA -7.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -14.02026-04-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 23.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 53.7 / LA -56.02026-04-06 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -6.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.4 / LA -3.02026-04-06 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 87.4 / LA 12.02026-04-07 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA 4.02026-04-07 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA -2.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 37.02026-04-08 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 110.6 / LA -18.02026-04-08 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 114.6 / LA 17.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 45.02026-04-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 8.02026-04-11 · double · KC · line_drive · EV 113.1 / LA 10.02026-04-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 115.4 / LA -2.02026-04-11 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 8.02026-04-11 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 114.9 / LA 13.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 26.02026-04-12 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 111.0 / LA 41.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -26.02026-04-13 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 9.02026-04-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 114.1 / LA 18.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.1 / LA 2.02026-04-14 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -10.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 114.9 / LA -12.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 48.02026-04-16 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 50.02026-04-16 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 119.0 / LA 11.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 3.02026-04-16 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -38.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 44.02026-04-17 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 23.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 18.02026-04-18 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 18.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 41.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -27.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA -7.02026-04-21 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 12.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -26.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 110.6 / LA 34.02026-04-22 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -24.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -7.02026-04-23 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 107.5 / LA 22.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 113.6 / LA 13.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 62.2 / LA 63.02026-04-24 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -5.02026-04-24 · fielders choice · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -30.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA -29.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 54.02026-04-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 28.02026-04-28 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 73.9 / LA 18.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 76.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA -13.02026-04-29 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -35.02026-04-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -31.02026-04-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 13.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -42.02026-05-01 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 112.6 / LA 3.02026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 2.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -7.02026-05-02 · field out · EP · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 19.02026-05-03 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA -51.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -6.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 38.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 13.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 23.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · popup · EV 70.6 / LA 46.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 1.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA -1.02026-05-06 · double play · SV · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -35.02026-05-06 · fielders choice out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 0.02026-05-07 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -17.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -1.02026-05-08 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 108.7 / LA 14.02026-05-08 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -33.02026-05-09 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA -11.02026-05-09 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -6.02026-05-09 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 11.02026-05-09 · single · EP · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 6.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 25.02026-05-10 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 39.02026-05-10 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -13.02026-05-12 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.1 / LA 49.02026-05-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 112.5 / LA 17.02026-05-12 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 111.1 / LA 21.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 2.02026-05-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 29.02026-05-14 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 43.02026-05-14 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -12.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -46.02026-05-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -6.02026-05-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.7 / LA -5.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA -19.02026-05-17 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -9.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 3.02026-05-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.6 / LA -17.02026-05-19 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 82.2 / LA 22.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -11.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -21.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA -70.02026-05-21 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 19.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 23.02026-05-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 50.02026-05-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball2026-05-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -25.02026-05-24 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 29.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 4.02026-05-25 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 45.02026-05-25 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -11.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 9.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -16.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 113.4 / LA 6.02026-05-26 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 112.4 / LA 8.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 25.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 18.02026-06-04 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 7.02026-06-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 110.4 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · field out · FS · popup · EV 82.5 / LA 66.02026-08-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -8.02026-08-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.7 / LA 12.02026-08-21 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -35.02026-08-21 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 112.8 / LA 32.02026-08-21 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -27.02026-08-22 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 114.0 / LA 11.02026-08-24 · fielders choice out · SL · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -65.02026-08-24 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 104.9 / LA -7.02026-08-24 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -19.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 28.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 32.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -19.02026-08-29 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -4.02026-08-29 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 28.02026-08-29 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 18.02026-08-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 21.02026-08-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 42.02026-08-30 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.0 / LA -15.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Cruz, Oneil · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 34%34%Zone contact: 78%78%Contact: 66%66%Hard hit: 58%58% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Cruz, Oneil · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 79.0 mph Hard swing rate 80% Whiff / swing 39% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 7"
Weight248 lb
Debut2021-10-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.396
xwOBA (deserved)0.358

Cruz’s wOBA sits at 0.396, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.358 — a gap of 0.037, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 345 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L 0.55 Barrel rateChase rate Player · Projection
De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L 0.54 Sprint speedWalk rate Player · Projection
Caglianone, Jac KC · L 0.47 Barrel rateSweet-spot rate Player · Projection
Kurtz, Nick ATH · L 0.45 Bat speedIn-zone contact Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-08-21Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Fielding62026-09-014 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.429
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | BB, K
2026-04-17 vs TB1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4 | HR, BB, 2 K
2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-5 | 3 K
2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 3 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-3 | 2 BB, 3 RBI, 3 R