Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 6" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2023-06-06 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Elly De La Cruz
SS · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 6", 200 lb · Age 24
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 696 | 105 | 160 | 25 | 67 | .259 | .339 | .471 | .810 |
| 2025 | 699 | 102 | 166 | 22 | 37 | .264 | .336 | .440 | .776 |
| 2026 | 533 | 81 | 127 | 21 | 24 | .270 | .351 | .477 | .828 |
| 4 Seasons | 2355 | 355 | 544 | 81 | 163 | .258 | .334 | .452 | .786 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
95
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.331 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.360 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.352 |
| Observed weight | 72% |
xwOBA
0.327
0.339
0.352
0.364
0.376
wOBA
0.362
0.375
0.389
0.402
0.415
ISO
0.180
0.192
0.205
0.218
0.230
K%
25.2%
26.3%
27.4%
28.6%
29.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.7%
92
Exit velocity94.0
98
Hard-hit%52.4%
97
xBA0.398
98
xSLG0.684
93
xwOBA0.360
94
BB%10.5%
73
Bat speed74.4
96
K%27.2%
27
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
40
Arm Strength99.8 · SS
100
Outs Above Avg8.0 · SS
94
Range Runs5.6 · SS
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · SS
69
Bolts13.0 · SS
70
SB Success Rate75.0% · SS
33
Sprint Speed28.5 · SS
81
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.8% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
39
Resists FastballwOBA 0.394 · validated
2
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.312 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.338 · validated thin sample
0
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
21
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
51
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
232 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.050 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Cruz’s wOBA sits at 0.389, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.360 — a gap of 0.029, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 552 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Langeliers, Shea ATH · R | 0.65 | Whiff rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R | 0.63 | Pull rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R | 0.62 | Barrel rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Alonso, Pete BAL · R | 0.60 | Pull rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-07-30 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 17 | 2026-08-29 | 7 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.193 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, R |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF1 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, 3 K |