Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Mitchell, Garrett
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.289 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.348 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.330 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Garrett Mitchell's tools (87) outpace production (62) by 26 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Contact-Discipline Mismatch. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
146 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| Sample | 473 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 275 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.218 to 0.342 | +/- 0.062 |
| ISO | 0.157 | 0.071 to 0.234 | +/- 0.081 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 1.7% to 6.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.7% | 29.0% to 49.0% | +/- 10.0% |
| K% | 27.9% | 21.7% to 36.2% | +/- 7.3% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 4.8% to 11.8% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.306 | 0.195 to 0.367 | +/- 0.086 |
99 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.163 |
| K% | 19.0% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
431 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.185 |
| K% | 19.0% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |