Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Tromp, Chadwick
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.217 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.165 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.211 |
| Observed weight | 11% |
xwOBA
0.136
0.171
0.211
0.250
0.286
wOBA
0.119
0.167
0.220
0.272
0.320
ISO
0.009
0.046
0.088
0.129
0.166
K%
17.9%
22.6%
27.9%
33.1%
37.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
Limited
Framing Runs0.5 · C
Limited
Pop Time2.0 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 44.2% · rebadged research
2
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 42.4% · rebadged research
2
Correct Decisions47.9% · rebadged research
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline69
1
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 226 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.256 | 0.118 to 0.286 | +/- 0.084 |
| ISO | 0.110 | 0.031 to 0.207 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 3.2% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.4% | 15.6% to 41.9% | +/- 13.1% |
| K% | 27.6% | 15.6% to 37.9% | +/- 11.1% |
| BB% | 4.8% | 0.4% to 9.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.264 | 0.172 to 0.334 | +/- 0.081 |
vs LHP
69 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.068 |
| K% | 8.3% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
vs RHP
153 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.064 |
| K% | 9.0% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |