Latest run 2026-06-01
Summary rows 5
Daily story feed 25
Component scorecard
Latest error profile
| Level |
Component |
Sample |
MAE |
Bias |
| player |
pitcher_k_pctprojection validation |
1276 |
0.036 |
+0.010 |
| player |
player_eraprojection validation |
1276 |
1.033 |
-0.569 |
| player |
player_hrprojection validation |
2840 |
2.323 |
-0.567 |
| player |
player_k_pctprojection validation |
2840 |
0.035 |
+0.003 |
| team |
team_wins_paceprojection validation |
510 |
3.381 |
-0.002 |
Monthly drift
Error by month
| Month | Component | MAE | Bias |
|---|
| 2026-04 |
pitcher_k_pct320 samples |
0.043 |
+0.009 |
| 2026-04 |
player_era320 samples |
1.271 |
-0.630 |
| 2026-04 |
player_hr708 samples |
1.634 |
-0.433 |
| 2026-04 |
player_k_pct708 samples |
0.041 |
+0.004 |
| 2026-04 |
team_wins_pace120 samples |
2.196 |
+0.005 |
| 2026-05 |
pitcher_k_pct885 samples |
0.034 |
+0.010 |
| 2026-05 |
player_era885 samples |
0.961 |
-0.548 |
| 2026-05 |
player_hr1977 samples |
2.531 |
-0.617 |
| 2026-05 |
player_k_pct1977 samples |
0.034 |
+0.003 |
| 2026-05 |
team_wins_pace360 samples |
3.711 |
-0.004 |
| 2026-06 |
pitcher_k_pct71 samples |
0.030 |
+0.010 |
| 2026-06 |
player_era71 samples |
0.857 |
-0.549 |
Live-state context
Current story feed
2026-06-01
team_pace_behind
DET is -25.1 wins off projected pace through 60 games
#1
2026-06-01
team_pace_behind
KC is -22.3 wins off projected pace through 59 games
#2
2026-06-01
team_pace_behind
NYM is -19.4 wins off projected pace through 59 games
#3
2026-06-01
player_breakout
Bleday, JJ is +0.119 xwOBA over projection
#4
2026-06-01
player_breakout
Foscue, Justin is +0.117 xwOBA over projection
#5
2026-06-01
player_breakout
Romo, Drew is +0.107 xwOBA over projection
#6
