Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Fairchild, Stuart
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.294 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.000 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.266 |
| Observed weight | 9% |
xwOBA
0.212
0.238
0.266
0.294
0.320
wOBA
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
ISO
0.071
0.113
0.159
0.205
0.247
K%
22.9%
25.8%
28.9%
32.1%
35.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · CF
Limited
Range Runs0.0 · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.8% · rebadged research
9
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 12.5% · rebadged research
98
Correct Decisions56.2% · rebadged research
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
73
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 261 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.227 to 0.345 | +/- 0.059 |
| ISO | 0.138 | 0.062 to 0.255 | +/- 0.096 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 2.0% to 7.3% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.3% | 28.4% to 45.8% | +/- 8.7% |
| K% | 27.2% | 20.2% to 33.3% | +/- 6.5% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.1% to 10.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.204 to 0.353 | +/- 0.074 |
vs LHP
352 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.192 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 6.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |
vs RHP
382 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.180 |
| K% | 17.9% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |