Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Bruján, Vidal
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.259 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.218 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.255 |
| Observed weight | 9% |
xwOBA
0.201
0.226
0.255
0.284
0.309
wOBA
0.526
0.587
0.656
0.724
0.785
ISO
0.024
0.051
0.082
0.112
0.139
K%
13.8%
16.3%
19.2%
22.0%
24.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS · small sample regression applied
59
Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 0.0% · rebadged research
100
Correct Decisions82.4% · rebadged research
100
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline125
100
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
13 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 279 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 4 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.268 | 0.215 to 0.333 | +/- 0.059 |
| ISO | 0.098 | 0.048 to 0.175 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 1.4% | 0.2% to 4.4% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 26.0% | 20.0% to 40.5% | +/- 10.3% |
| K% | 20.7% | 16.5% to 28.2% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 5.0% to 10.7% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.271 | 0.206 to 0.319 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
192 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.165 |
| K% | 13.8% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |
vs RHP
506 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.152 |
| K% | 13.2% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |