Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
None
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 33
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.232 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.293 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.242 |
| Observed weight | 16% |
xwOBA
0.168
0.203
0.242
0.281
0.317
wOBA
0.424
0.471
0.523
0.575
0.622
ISO
0.024
0.060
0.101
0.141
0.177
K%
11.6%
16.4%
21.6%
26.9%
31.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Pop Time2.0 · C
5
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
Limited
Framing Runs0.0 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.2% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
73
Mithrandir Stuff+60
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
13
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349 · validated
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
79
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
24 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.263 | 0.090 to 0.265 | +/- 0.087 |
| ISO | 0.109 | 0.011 to 0.193 | +/- 0.091 |
| Barrel% | 2.9% | 0.2% to 5.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.5% | 6.0% to 38.2% | +/- 16.1% |
| K% | 24.7% | 8.9% to 32.4% | +/- 11.7% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 1.0% to 9.7% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.142 to 0.369 | +/- 0.114 |
vs LHP
96 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.3% |
| BB% | 1.1% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
222 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.4% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |