Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / DET · 2026
Short, Zack
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team DET
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.279 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.324 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 14% |
xwOBA
0.229
0.256
0.285
0.315
0.342
wOBA
0.194
0.240
0.291
0.342
0.388
ISO
0.070
0.107
0.147
0.187
0.224
K%
20.8%
23.6%
26.8%
29.9%
32.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
71
Range Runs0.1 · SS
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2% · rebadged research
53
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
67
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
21
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
17 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 245 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.221 to 0.348 | +/- 0.064 |
| ISO | 0.153 | 0.067 to 0.244 | +/- 0.089 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 1.8% to 7.1% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.5% | 26.6% to 46.9% | +/- 10.2% |
| K% | 27.1% | 22.2% to 35.8% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 9.8% | 6.1% to 13.4% | +/- 3.6% |
| BABIP | 0.289 | 0.199 to 0.356 | +/- 0.078 |
vs LHP
258 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.158 |
| K% | 16.3% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 2.3% |
vs RHP
426 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.156 |
| K% | 16.3% |
| BB% | 6.4% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |