Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Harris, Brett
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.260 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 3% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.266
0.290
0.315
0.337
wOBA
0.012
0.117
0.233
0.350
0.455
ISO
0.055
0.093
0.136
0.179
0.217
K%
15.1%
18.3%
21.8%
25.4%
28.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
56
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.1 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 90.9% · rebadged research
100
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
21
Correct Decisions77.3% · rebadged research
99
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline118
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
56 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 255 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.219 to 0.314 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.126 | 0.062 to 0.228 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 4.0% | 1.0% to 6.8% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.9% | 21.2% to 45.7% | +/- 12.2% |
| K% | 24.0% | 16.2% to 30.0% | +/- 6.9% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 4.7% to 11.6% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.223 to 0.341 | +/- 0.059 |
vs LHP
68 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.125 |
| K% | 10.6% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
144 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.125 |
| K% | 10.0% |
| BB% | 4.8% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |