Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Dezenzo, Zach
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team HOU
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.260 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.288 |
| Observed weight | 18% |
xwOBA
0.231
0.258
0.288
0.319
0.346
wOBA
0.192
0.231
0.273
0.316
0.355
ISO
0.085
0.111
0.140
0.169
0.195
K%
24.9%
27.5%
30.4%
33.2%
35.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
8
Arm Runs0.5 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-1.4 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · LF
56
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 35.5% · rebadged research
4
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
35
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · borderline
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
63
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.366 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
25 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 269 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.313 | 0.214 to 0.350 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.155 | 0.058 to 0.189 | +/- 0.066 |
| Barrel% | 6.8% | 2.6% to 8.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.2% | 26.0% to 46.7% | +/- 10.4% |
| K% | 29.2% | 20.0% to 32.9% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 4.0% to 10.9% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.307 | 0.229 to 0.374 | +/- 0.073 |
vs LHP
38 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.131 |
| K% | 13.9% |
| BB% | 4.8% |
| Barrel | 3.5% |
vs RHP
154 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.132 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |