Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.229 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.268 |
| Observed weight | 9% |
xwOBA
0.180
0.222
0.268
0.315
0.357
wOBA
0.239
0.301
0.371
0.440
0.503
ISO
0.042
0.073
0.108
0.143
0.174
K%
8.2%
13.9%
20.3%
26.6%
32.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · RF
Limited
Outs Above Avg-0.4 · RF · small sample regression applied
30
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.9 · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 77.8% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.6% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions76.7% · rebadged research
99
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline117
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
12 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 203 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.300 | 0.138 to 0.332 | +/- 0.097 |
| ISO | 0.111 | 0.046 to 0.191 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 0.2% to 5.0% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.9% | 12.6% to 38.6% | +/- 13.0% |
| K% | 24.6% | 8.0% to 34.5% | +/- 13.3% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 1.1% to 10.2% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.182 to 0.358 | +/- 0.088 |
vs LHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |