Milner, Hoby
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.31 |
| ERA current pace | 2.59 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.77 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 44.2% | 161 | 104 | limited sample |
| SL | 25.8% | 94 | 105 | limited sample |
| CH | 18.1% | 66 | 102 | limited sample |
| FB | 11.8% | 43 | 98 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -1.45 |
| K% Δ | -0.051 |
| Sample | 27.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 41.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 171 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.0% | 14.1% to 26.9% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 6.8% | 3.9% to 10.8% | +/- 3.5% |
| Whiff% | 15.1% | 11.2% to 21.7% | +/- 5.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.21 | 0.24 to 1.83 | +/- 0.80 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.315 | 0.261 to 0.366 | +/- 0.052 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.1% | 3.0% to 11.6% | +/- 4.3% |
| ERA | 4.05 | 2.51 to 6.49 | +/- 1.99 |
| FIP | 4.17 | 2.55 to 5.37 | +/- 1.41 |
| WHIP | 1.338 | 1.046 to 1.631 | +/- 0.292 |
671 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.259 |
| K% | 19.9% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 5.4% |
857 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.294 |
| K% | 18.5% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 7.3% |