Mithrandir Metrics
BOS 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-06-12

Sonny Gray

BOS · SP · throws R · age 37
Projected starter Opp K 21.8% Neutral
MatchupBOS vs TEXopponent
Sample1974.333career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts5.5
P 42.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 42.5% Market -- Gap +0.1pp
FanDuel 122 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs16.5
P 49.7
F 48.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 49.7% Market 53.3% Gap +0.3pp
FanDuel -114 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.25
58
ERA3.03
70
BB%7.3%
70
K%20.5%
35
xwOBA allowed0.333
31
Barrel allowed8.1%
45
Fastball velo92.0
16
Hard-hit allowed36.0%
69
Whiff%20.2%
27 -27 vs proj
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Changeup Stuff+100
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+100
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+104
Small sample
Fastball Stuff+104
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+103
Small sample
Slider Stuff+103
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range20.3% to 30.9%
Opponent K21.8%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)