Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Tomoyuki Sugano

COL · SP · throws R · age 37
Projected starter Opp K 23.9% Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCOL vs CINopponent
Sample--career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 48.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 31.6% Market -- Gap +12.7pp
FanDuel 172 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.38
39
ERA4.80
30
BB%6.6%
80
K%13.6%
4
xwOBA allowed0.397
1
Barrel allowed13.9%
2 -26 vs proj
Fastball velo92.2
19
Hard-hit allowed46.5%
8
Whiff%17.1%
7
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+104
66
Mithrandir Stuff+103
59
Sinker Stuff+103
57
Slider Stuff+105
73
Curveball Stuff+101
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+101
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range11.1% to 21.2%
Opponent K23.9%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)