Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Jesús Luzardo

PHI · SP · throws L · age 29

Projected starter Opp K 21.9% Hitter-Friendly

MatchupPHI vs NYMopponent

Sample806.0career MLB IP

PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows

Tonight's pitcher props

Strikeouts7.5

P 42.4

F -- in progress

V -- in progress

INSUFFICIENT LANES

Model 30.3% Market -- Gap +14.8pp

DraftKings -152 tracking Open board

Pitcher Outs--

Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--

Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB

Pitching · percentile strip

WHIP1.27

ERA3.51

BB%7.5%

K%28.9%

xwOBA allowed0.269

90 +40 vs proj

Barrel allowed5.1%

84 +45 vs proj

Fastball velo96.5

Hard-hit allowed30.4%

Whiff%30.2%

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Changeup Stuff+107

Fastball Stuff+103

Mithrandir Stuff+102

Slider Stuff+95

Sinker Stuff+111

Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts

Projected range21.7% to 33.1%

Opponent K21.9%

Expected BF0.00

EnvironmentHitter-Friendly

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)