Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Tarik Skubal

DET · SP · throws L · age 30
Projected starter Opp K 25.4% Neutral
MatchupDET vs LAAopponent
Sample842.333career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts6.5
P 50.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 50.9% Market -- Gap +0.9pp
Internal -- tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.98
91
ERA3.09
74
BB%3.5%
100
K%29.7%
92
xwOBA allowed0.278
85
Barrel allowed7.2%
58
Fastball velo96.7
82
Hard-hit allowed37.2%
62
Whiff%28.8%
88
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+105
73
Fastball Stuff+112
98
Mithrandir Stuff+110
98
Curveball Stuff+104
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+106
Small sample
Slider Stuff+110
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range23.9% to 39.7%
Opponent K25.4%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)