Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-07-24 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-24

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs COLTomoyuki Sugano
Sample1921.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.6
F 15.5
V 10.8
Model 18.3% Market 10.0% Gap +7.9pp
DraftKings 865 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 81.0% Market 82.0% Gap +15.8pp
BetMGM -455 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 32.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 32.3% Market -- Gap +1.0pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
54 +24 vs proj
Exit velocity90.0
74
Hard-hit%44.2%
73 +28 vs proj
xBA0.353
80
xSLG0.613
80
xwOBA0.345
82 +16 vs proj
BB%12.9%
89 +31 vs proj
Bat speed67.7
25
K%24.2%
40 -19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
51
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
53
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 2B
95
Range Runs5.4 · 2B
91
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · 2B
68
Bolts1.0 · 2B
14
SB Success Rate75.0% · 2B
34
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
84
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1%
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8%
34
Correct Decisions68.4%
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.029
Opposing pitcherTomoyuki Sugano
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)