Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-24 · saved artifact ROWS 61 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs COL	P 3.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.4%Under prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	+96.43%	1+ Hitline	0.378count	96.4%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs COL	P 3.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.6%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+96.58%	1+ Hitline	0.37count	96.6%selected	1.51role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
03	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs SD	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.344count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
04	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs CLE	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	46.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.214count	98.0%selected	1.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
05	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs PHI	P 4.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	95.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+95.31%	1+ Hitline	0.433count	95.3%selected	2.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
06	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs PHI	P 6.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.3%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+93.35%	1+ Hitline	0.472count	93.3%selected	2.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
07	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 6.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+93.14%	1+ Hitline	0.524count	93.1%selected	2.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
08	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs SD	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+78.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	78.3%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
09	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs CLE	P 6.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.1%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+93.13%	1+ Hitline	0.524count	93.1%selected	2.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
10	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs AZ	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+86.74%	1+ Hitline	0.685count	86.7%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
11	Andy PagesLAD	LAD vs NYM	P 20.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+79.56%	2+ Hitsline	0.86count	79.6%selected	3.99role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
12	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs CLE	P 8.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.2%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+91.24%	1+ Hitline	0.547count	91.2%selected	3.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
13	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs CLE	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+80.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.838count	80.5%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
14	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs COL	P 12.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.6%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+87.58%	1+ Hitline	0.661count	87.6%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
15	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs CHC	P 12.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.7%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+87.71%	1+ Hitline	0.657count	87.7%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
16	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs DET	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+86.01%	1+ Hitline	0.689count	86.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
17	James WoodWSH	WSH vs AZ	P 22.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+77.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.915count	77.3%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
18	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs ATL	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+81.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.821count	81.1%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
19	Joey BartPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+85.93%	2+ Hitsline	0.708count	85.9%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
20	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs CWS	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.3%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+71.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.059count	71.3%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
21	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs ATL	P 10.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.5%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+89.54%	1+ Hitline	0.602count	89.5%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
22	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs SD	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+81.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.6%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
23	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs PHI	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+81.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.1%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
24	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.896count	78.1%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
25	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs ATL	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.46%	2+ Hitsline	0.863count	79.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
26	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.77%	2+ Hitsline	1.001count	73.8%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
27	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs ATL	P 14.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.7%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+85.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.714count	85.7%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
28	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.4%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+81.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.806count	81.4%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
29	Shohei OhtaniLAD	LAD vs NYM	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+72.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.033count	72.4%selected	4.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
30	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs SD	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.1%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+72.93%	1+ Hitline	1.021count	27.1%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
31	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs ATL	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+72.94%	2+ Hitsline	1.019count	72.9%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
32	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs CWS	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+80.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.839count	80.4%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
33	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs AZ	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+75.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.5%selected	3.77role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
34	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+80.28%	2+ Hitsline	0.842count	80.3%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
35	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs HOU	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.1%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+85.07%	1+ Hitline	0.716count	85.1%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
36	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs CHC	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.9%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+78.12%	1+ Hitline	0.896count	21.9%selected	4.37role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
37	Starling MarteKC	KC vs DET	P 13.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.9%Under prob · Palantir	82.5%no-vig	+86.94%	2+ Hitsline	0.679count	86.9%selected	3.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
38	Alex CallLAD	LAD vs NYM	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+83.75%	1+ Hitline	0.752count	83.8%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
39	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs CWS	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.0%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+70.01%	1+ Hitline	1.089count	30.0%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
40	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs NYM	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.996count	73.9%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
41	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs CWS	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+77.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	77.8%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
42	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs NYM	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+77.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.904count	77.8%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
43	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs DET	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+83.62%	1+ Hitline	0.755count	83.6%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
44	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs SD	P 34.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	34.2%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+65.81%	1+ Hitline	1.186count	34.2%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
45	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs AZ	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.70%	2+ Hitsline	1.027count	72.7%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
46	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs AZ	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+83.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.777count	83.4%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
47	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.0%Over prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	+69.99%	2+ Hitsline	1.09count	30.0%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
48	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+80.66%	1+ Hitline	0.833count	80.7%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
49	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs PHI	P 26.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.0%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+74.00%	1+ Hitline	0.996count	26.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
50	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs COL	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.4%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+67.57%	1+ Hitline	1.148count	32.4%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
51	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+74.59%	2+ Hitsline	0.982count	74.6%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
52	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs COL	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+79.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.853count	79.8%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
53	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs HOU	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+82.28%	2+ Hitsline	0.791count	82.3%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
54	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs NYM	P 32.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.7%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+67.32%	1+ Hitline	1.154count	32.7%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
55	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs DET	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+81.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	81.6%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
56	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs COL	P 32.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.9%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+67.86%	2+ Hitsline	1.139count	67.9%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
57	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs CWS	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+76.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.935count	76.5%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
58	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+78.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.896count	78.1%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
59	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs COL	P 32.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	32.3%Over prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+67.71%	2+ Hitsline	1.145count	32.3%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
60	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs NYY	P 32.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.7%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+67.26%	1+ Hitline	1.156count	32.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
61	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs HOU	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	19.9%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+80.09%	1+ Hitline	0.847count	19.9%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books