Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-08

Brice Turang

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs CHCDavid Peterson
Sample2069.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 21 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.7
F 12.0
V 10.5
Model 11.4% Market 8.7% Gap +2.4pp
DraftKings 1010 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 73.7% Market 74.7% Gap +14.2pp
BetMGM -295 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 22.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 22.3% Market -- Gap +0.5pp
FanDuel 340 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
46
Exit velocity88.8
61
Hard-hit%41.6%
66 +17 vs proj
xBA0.354
85
xSLG0.590
78
xwOBA0.336
82
BB%12.6%
89 +31 vs proj
Bat speed67.3
24
K%25.1%
37 -23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
46
Arm Strength87.1 · 2B
49
Outs Above Avg12.0 · 2B
98
Range Runs8.7 · 2B
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 2B
47
Bolts3.0 · 2B
35
SB Success Rate68.8% · 2B
23
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
82
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.9%
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9%
33
Correct Decisions67.7%
67
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.294 to 0.361
RegressionNegative · -0.027
Opposing pitcherDavid Peterson
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)