Mithrandir Metrics
Player Arizona Diamondbacks Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks

Nolan Arenado

3B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Arizona Diamondbacks Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.300
xwOBA current pace0.333
xwOBA rolling p500.316
Observed weight49%
xwOBA
0.287 0.301 0.316 0.331 0.345
wOBA
0.351 0.372 0.394 0.417 0.437
ISO
0.135 0.152 0.170 0.189 0.206
K%
13.6% 14.8% 16.1% 17.4% 18.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.9%
48 +21 vs proj
Barrel%4.7%
44 +16 vs proj
Bat speed69.3
44
Exit velocity85.6
19
Hard-hit%32.2%
21
K%17.8%
76
xBA0.339
64
xSLG0.520
53
xwOBA0.333
70 +33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.0 · 3B
29
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
45
Range Runs0.3 · 3B
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · 3B
16
Sprint Speed25.4 · 3B
10
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5% · rebadged research
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
40
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
86
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
20
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
16
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Arenado, Nolan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3292026-05-19: 0.3322026-05-21: 0.3392026-05-23: 0.3402026-05-24: 0.3382026-05-25: 0.3362026-05-26: 0.3322026-05-28: 0.3322026-05-29: 0.3342026-05-30: 0.3342026-05-31: 0.3392026-06-01: 0.333 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Arenado, Nolan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Arenado, Nolan · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 32.7° Length 8.4 ft Ideal path 58% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Arenado, Nolan · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 13.7° Direction -12.7° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Arenado, Nolan · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.0 mph Hard swing rate 12% Whiff / swing 26% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 2"
Weight215 lb
Debut2013-04-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.037
wOBA Δ+0.099

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-22Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.295 xwOBA | 15 HRProjection
2026-04-17 vs TOR1 HR | 2 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-15 @ BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-5 | K, RBI
2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-13 @ BAL2 HR | 5 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2 HR, K, 5 RBI
2026-04-12 @ PHI0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-2 | RBI, R