Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Jake Cronenworth

2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 187 lb · Age 32

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position 2B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202465672139175.241.324.390.714
202551561103113.246.367.377.744
2026166182833.190.279.272.551
7 Seasons33784137158327.244.333.399.732
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
31
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
39
Defense3 metrics
25
Speed2 metrics
47
Plate skills10 metrics
65
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.320
xwOBA current pace0.295
xwOBA rolling p500.309
Observed weight45%
xwOBA
0.281 0.294 0.309 0.324 0.337
wOBA
0.266 0.287 0.311 0.334 0.355
ISO
0.083 0.101 0.121 0.141 0.159
K%
18.2% 19.5% 21.0% 22.5% 23.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
31
Exit velocity86.8
32
Hard-hit%33.6%
27 -20 vs proj
xBA0.299
25
xSLG0.461
32
xwOBA0.295
38 -27 vs proj
BB%10.0%
67
Bat speed68.9
39
K%21.1%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.4 · 2B
18
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
28
Range Runs-2.0 · 2B
30
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · 2B
15
Sprint Speed28.4 · 2B
79
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.5% · rebadged research
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.255 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
49
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
42
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Cronenworth, Jake · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.295 2026-07-07: 0.2962026-07-08: 0.2972026-07-09: 0.3052026-07-10: 0.2992026-07-11: 0.2972026-07-12: 0.2952026-07-13: 0.2952026-07-14: 0.2952026-07-15: 0.2952026-07-16: 0.2952026-07-17: 0.2952026-07-18: 0.295 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

89 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Cronenworth, Jake · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 80% of plotted batted ballsCenter 80%Right field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsOppo 8% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -3.02026-03-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.6 / LA 13.02026-03-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 7.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 56.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 10.02026-03-19 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 13.02026-03-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 15.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -10.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 70.1 / LA 70.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.6 / LA 41.02026-03-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -21.02026-03-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA -39.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 12.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -7.02026-03-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -49.02026-03-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 4.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -12.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.9 / LA 17.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 10.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 2.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -23.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 3.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -12.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -2.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 47.02026-04-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 7.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 20.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 45.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 9.02026-04-04 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -15.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA -44.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA -19.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 55.2 / LA -48.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 19.02026-04-05 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -8.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · popup · EV 70.9 / LA 49.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 7.02026-04-06 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 23.02026-04-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 35.3 / LA -31.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 46.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 37.02026-04-08 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 28.02026-04-09 · field out · FC · popup · EV 75.2 / LA 56.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 18.02026-04-09 · field out · ST · popup · EV 95.4 / LA 61.02026-04-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -5.02026-04-09 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 37.9 / LA -32.02026-04-10 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 1.02026-04-10 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 20.02026-04-11 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.2 / LA -33.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 18.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 33.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 61.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 11.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA -18.02026-04-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -23.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 29.02026-04-16 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA 7.02026-04-17 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -26.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 28.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 7.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -27.02026-04-21 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 8.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 20.02026-04-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -3.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.7 / LA 77.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -13.02026-04-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 73.0 / LA 23.02026-04-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -15.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · popup · EV 71.5 / LA 63.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -8.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA -21.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 85.6 / LA 58.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -24.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.4 / LA 12.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.9 / LA -60.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 20.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA -26.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 37.02026-05-02 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 10.02026-05-02 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -46.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 55.7 / LA 31.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 40.02026-05-04 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA -40.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 45.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.1 / LA 52.02026-07-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 14.02026-07-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 1.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Cronenworth, Jake · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Cronenworth, Jake · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.1 mph Hard swing rate 23% Whiff / swing 27% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height5' 11"
Weight187 lb
Debut2020-07-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.026
wOBA Δ-0.011

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.311
xwOBA (deserved)0.295

Cronenworth’s wOBA sits at 0.311, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.015, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 180 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-04-06Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.321 xwOBA | 13 HRProjection
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, K
2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-3
2026-04-11 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K, R
2026-04-09 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-5 | BB, 2 R