Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 193 lb |
| Debut | 2023-06-23 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Nick Gonzales
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 193 lb · Age 27
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 387 | 42 | 97 | 7 | 5 | .270 | .311 | .398 | .709 |
| 2025 | 408 | 39 | 99 | 5 | 0 | .260 | .299 | .362 | .661 |
| 2026 | 530 | 66 | 148 | 6 | 7 | .307 | .368 | .396 | .764 |
| 4 Seasons | 1453 | 159 | 368 | 20 | 12 | .275 | .325 | .383 | .708 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
43
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.323 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.319 |
| Observed weight | 71% |
xwOBA
0.299
0.308
0.319
0.329
0.338
wOBA
0.332
0.344
0.358
0.372
0.384
ISO
0.087
0.097
0.108
0.119
0.128
K%
15.9%
16.8%
17.8%
18.9%
19.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.0%
12
-29 vs proj
Exit velocity86.1
30
Hard-hit%34.6%
32
xBA0.344
77
xSLG0.469
37
xwOBA0.323
72
+18 vs proj
BB%6.8%
30
Bat speed68.6
35
K%17.0%
82
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
49
Arm Strength89.7 · 3B
69
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
28
Range Runs-8.0 · 3B
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · 3B
69
Bolts10.0 · 3B
65
SB Success Rate80.0% · 3B
48
Sprint Speed28.8 · 3B
87
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.2% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
27
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
59
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
39
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
77
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
42
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
244 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.050 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Gonzales’s wOBA sits at 0.358, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.323 — a gap of 0.035, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 547 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triolo, Jared PIT · R | 0.82 | Barrel rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Cronenworth, Jake SD · L | 0.76 | Barrel rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Winn, Masyn STL · R | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-08-29 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-08-26 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.140 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB |