Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Rengifo, Luis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
28
Exit velocity86.9
40
Hard-hit%34.9%
33
xBA0.301
29
xSLG0.409
15
xwOBA0.304
49
BB%9.4%
61
Bat speed69.5
46
K%13.6%
93
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · 3B
10
Arm Strength90.2 · 3B
75
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
46
Range Runs-1.5 · 3B
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · 3B
24
SB Success Rate50.0% · 3B
4
Sprint Speed27.1 · 3B
41
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.6% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
52
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
32
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
80
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
100
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
208 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 374 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 514 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.303 | 0.277 to 0.341 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.125 | 0.102 to 0.203 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 2.7% to 5.8% | +/- 1.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.0% | 31.1% to 40.5% | +/- 4.7% |
| K% | 19.2% | 16.0% to 22.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.9% to 9.5% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.286 | 0.263 to 0.330 | +/- 0.033 |
vs LHP
716 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |
vs RHP
1901 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.249 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |