Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-18 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Masyn Winn
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 24
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 637 | 85 | 157 | 15 | 11 | .267 | .314 | .416 | .730 |
| 2025 | 537 | 72 | 124 | 9 | 9 | .253 | .310 | .363 | .673 |
| 2026 | 490 | 49 | 103 | 5 | 10 | .238 | .314 | .326 | .640 |
| 4 Seasons | 1801 | 214 | 405 | 31 | 32 | .248 | .307 | .363 | .670 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
38
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.305 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.299 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.279
0.290
0.301
0.313
0.323
wOBA
0.281
0.294
0.308
0.322
0.334
ISO
0.086
0.096
0.107
0.118
0.128
K%
18.8%
19.8%
20.8%
21.9%
22.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.4%
15
-18 vs proj
Exit velocity87.8
49
Hard-hit%34.8%
33
xBA0.328
60
xSLG0.440
28
xwOBA0.299
45
BB%9.5%
62
+32 vs proj
Bat speed69.5
48
K%21.5%
56
-24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · SS
18
Arm Strength98.4 · SS
99
Outs Above Avg16.0 · SS
99
Range Runs11.7 · SS
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · SS
80
Bolts3.0 · SS
35
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
94
Sprint Speed28.4 · SS
79
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.7% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
7
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
85
Resists FastballwOBA 0.294 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
212 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.002 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Winn’s wOBA sits at 0.308, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.008, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 507 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cronenworth, Jake SD · L | 0.79 | Walk rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Myers, Dane CIN · R | 0.77 | Chase rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Gonzales, Nick PIT · R | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Triolo, Jared PIT · R | 0.69 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-08-18 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 17 | 2026-08-17 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.609 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 3B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R |