Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2025-08-01 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Jeremiah Jackson
2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 26
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 183 | 20 | 47 | 5 | 0 | .276 | .328 | .447 | .775 |
| 2026 | 180 | 19 | 44 | 6 | 1 | .254 | .272 | .399 | .671 |
| 2 Seasons | 363 | 39 | 91 | 11 | 1 | .265 | .300 | .423 | .723 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
56
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.299 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.295 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.277
0.297
0.317
0.335
wOBA
0.310
0.331
0.354
0.377
0.398
ISO
0.122
0.142
0.165
0.187
0.208
K%
17.8%
19.5%
21.3%
23.1%
24.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
72
+21 vs proj
Exit velocity89.9
69
Hard-hit%42.0%
60
xBA0.324
50
xSLG0.513
50
xwOBA0.295
36
BB%2.1%
1
-20 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
69
K%18.8%
70
+42 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · 2B
99
Arm Strength87.0 · 2B
59
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
28
Range Runs-0.4 · 2B
40
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
39
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.2% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.247 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
55
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
48
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
147 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.052 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Jackson’s wOBA sits at 0.354, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.059, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 192 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-13 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.302 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | R |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE1 HR | 3 RBI / 6 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | HR, 2 K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ1 HR | 3 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | HR, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B |