Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Martínez, Angel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.306 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.289 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.258
0.273
0.289
0.305
0.320
wOBA
0.324
0.343
0.365
0.387
0.407
ISO
0.155
0.171
0.189
0.207
0.223
K%
19.0%
20.1%
21.4%
22.6%
23.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%2.8%
3
-15 vs proj
Barrel%6.9%
73
+51 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
34
Exit velocity86.6
27
Hard-hit%35.8%
31
K%20.2%
60
xBA0.328
56
xSLG0.529
56
xwOBA0.306
46
+25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
89
Arm Strength96.8 · LF
82
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
90
Range Runs2.5 · LF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · LF
43
SB Success Rate77.8% · LF
42
Sprint Speed27.7 · LF
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.8% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions60.8% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
32
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.320 · validated
97
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
160 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.089 |
| Sample | 218 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 466 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.276 | 0.244 to 0.338 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.139 | 0.101 to 0.215 | +/- 0.057 |
| Barrel% | 2.8% | 1.1% to 5.0% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.2% | 25.9% to 38.5% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 19.6% | 19.2% to 25.6% | +/- 3.2% |
| BB% | 5.8% | 4.3% to 9.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.284 | 0.245 to 0.323 | +/- 0.039 |
vs LHP
221 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
453 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.188 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |