Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / NYY
José Caballero
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 190 lb · Age 30
Club NYY
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 483 | 53 | 100 | 9 | 44 | .227 | .283 | .347 | .630 |
| 2025 | 370 | 52 | 74 | 5 | 49 | .236 | .339 | .347 | .686 |
| 2026 | 405 | 43 | 88 | 13 | 31 | .239 | .294 | .378 | .672 |
| 4 Seasons | 1538 | 185 | 313 | 31 | 150 | .231 | .310 | .351 | .661 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.280 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.284 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.261
0.272
0.284
0.295
0.306
wOBA
0.286
0.299
0.315
0.330
0.344
ISO
0.111
0.122
0.134
0.147
0.158
K%
23.0%
24.2%
25.5%
26.8%
28.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.3%
28
Exit velocity81.0
3
Hard-hit%27.1%
10
xBA0.318
49
xSLG0.470
37
xwOBA0.285
30
BB%6.0%
21
-30 vs proj
Bat speed64.7
6
K%23.4%
46
+19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.4 · SS
4
Arm Strength90.2 · SS
75
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
72
Range Runs1.7 · SS
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · SS
42
SB Success Rate71.4% · SS
27
Sprint Speed28.0 · SS
66
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.0% · rebadged research
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions63.3% · rebadged research
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
55
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
190 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.028 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Caballero’s wOBA sits at 0.315, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.285 — a gap of 0.029, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 419 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giménez, Andrés TOR · L | 0.68 | Bat speedGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Peters, Tristan CWS · L | 0.63 | Max exit velocitySwing length | Player · Projection |
| Church, Nathan STL · L | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Altuve, Jose HOU · R | 0.56 | Barrel rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-08-30 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.286 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |