Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	633	64	147	9	30	.252	.298	.340	.638
2025	369	39	69	7	12	.210	.285	.313	.598
2026	439	34	97	8	19	.240	.286	.354	.640
7 Seasons	2956	324	671	64	130	.251	.312	.378	.690

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01

15

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

20

Defense4 metrics

95

Speed4 metrics

49

Plate skills10 metrics

55

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%2.7%

19

Exit velocity84.4

14

Hard-hit%24.6%

7

xBA0.289

19

xSLG0.407

15

xwOBA0.267

17

BB%3.6%

6

Bat speed64.7

7

K%18.6%

73

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs0.8 · SS

96

Arm Strength92.4 · SS

85

Outs Above Avg18.0 · SS

99

Range Runs13.2 · SS

99

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs0.3 · SS

50

Bolts1.0 · SS

12

SB Success Rate86.7% · SS

71

Sprint Speed27.9 · SS

63

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-01

Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.4% · rebadged research

13

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research

66

Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research

35

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94

19

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.262 · borderline

93

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample

77

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample

45

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample

97

Resists FastballwOBA 0.346 · validated

33

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated

77

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Andrés Giménez's tools (75) and production (76) are aligned. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too Low

+10.7° Current 5° → Target 16°

Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

221 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.2σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.299

xwOBA (deserved)0.267

Giménez’s wOBA sits at 0.299, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.267 — a gap of 0.033, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 447 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Church, Nathan STL · L	0.82	In-zone contactChase rate	Player · Projection
Caballero, José NYY · R	0.69	Bat speedGround-ball rate	Player · Projection
Lukes, Nathan TOR · L	0.61	Isolated powerBat speed	Player · Projection
Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R	0.58	In-zone contactWhiff rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	9	2026-08-25	Impact contact was the main driver

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA \| 11 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs NYY0 HR \| 0 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K, R
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| BB, 2 K, RBI
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR \| 0 RBI / 1 Ch \| 1 E	0-1
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| 2B, K, SB
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 5 Ch \| 0 E	1-4

Age	27
Height	5' 11"
Weight	161 lb
Debut	2020-07-24

xwOBA Δ	--
wOBA Δ	--

Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA \| 11 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs NYY0 HR \| 0 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K, R
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| BB, 2 K, RBI
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR \| 0 RBI / 1 Ch \| 1 E	0-1
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| 2B, K, SB
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 5 Ch \| 0 E	1-4

Andrés Giménez

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail