Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 5" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2024-08-02 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Coby Mayo
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 225 lb · Age 24
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position 3B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .098 | .196 | .098 | .294 |
| 2025 | 294 | 30 | 57 | 11 | 3 | .217 | .299 | .388 | .687 |
| 2026 | 250 | 31 | 44 | 12 | 2 | .194 | .264 | .392 | .656 |
| 3 Seasons | 590 | 65 | 105 | 23 | 5 | .198 | .276 | .367 | .643 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.284 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.299 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.292 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.276
0.292
0.308
0.322
wOBA
0.270
0.287
0.307
0.326
0.343
ISO
0.147
0.164
0.182
0.200
0.216
K%
27.2%
28.8%
30.5%
32.2%
33.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
73
+29 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
94
Hard-hit%50.3%
92
+47 vs proj
xBA0.331
60
xSLG0.622
82
xwOBA0.299
42
BB%8.5%
48
Bat speed73.5
92
K%32.3%
8
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength90.4 · 3B
79
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 3B
68
Range Runs-2.6 · 3B
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · 3B
60
Sprint Speed27.9 · 3B
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.1% · rebadged research
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
49
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
72
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
71
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
114 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.017 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mayo’s wOBA sits at 0.307, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.299 — a gap of 0.008, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 260 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burger, Jake TEX · R | 0.60 | Barrel rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Carroll, Corbin AZ · L | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.54 | Whiff ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Montgomery, Colson CWS · L | 0.54 | Strikeout rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-05-11 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | R |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs SF0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-11 vs SF0 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, 2 RBI, R |