Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2025-09-02 |
Player profile / Kansas City Royals
Carter Jensen
C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 210 lb · Age 23
Club Kansas City Royals
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 69 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 0 | .300 | .391 | .550 | .941 |
| 2026 | 512 | 61 | 99 | 19 | 2 | .221 | .309 | .409 | .718 |
| 2 Seasons | 581 | 73 | 117 | 22 | 2 | .231 | .318 | .426 | .744 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.291 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.303 |
| Observed weight | 71% |
xwOBA
0.277
0.289
0.303
0.316
0.329
wOBA
0.299
0.312
0.325
0.339
0.351
ISO
0.150
0.164
0.179
0.194
0.207
K%
23.9%
25.3%
26.9%
28.5%
29.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
67
Exit velocity91.1
88
Hard-hit%44.3%
77
+19 vs proj
xBA0.301
29
xSLG0.542
63
xwOBA0.291
35
-53 vs proj
BB%11.3%
81
+25 vs proj
Bat speed71.7
76
K%28.4%
22
-31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-2.8 · C
1
Catcher Throwing2.2 · C
86
Framing Runs2.8 · C
78
Pop Time1.9 · C
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · C
52
Sprint Speed27.8 · C
60
SB Success Rate50.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.0% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.0% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions73.2% · rebadged research
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline115
97
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.239 · borderline
100
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
15
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389 · validated
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
198 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.054 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.020 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Jensen’s wOBA sits at 0.325, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.291 — a gap of 0.034, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 531 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Happ, Ian CHC · L | 0.68 | Chase rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Langford, Wyatt TEX · R | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.67 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| McMahon, Ryan NYY · L | 0.65 | Bat speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-08-28 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-08-30 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HBP, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |